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The banking and currency crises of the last two decades inflictedsubstantial financial, economic, and social damage on thecountries in which they originated. In this work, the efficiencyof early warning indicators for these disastrous economic eventsis evaluated. An analysis of the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471830
reformulated with respect to statistical properties of these objectives functions (e.g. probability of exceeding certain thresholds … of two components. Firstly advanced sampling techniques are employed in order to efficiently explore the dependence of … performance statistics with respect to the design variables. For that purpose we explore parametric and non-parametric (kernel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436326
As part of a study aimed at estimating suburban highway needs for year 2005, models were developed for forecasting … major findings from the forecasting and distribution models for urban highway travel in year 2005. 30 refs., 3 figs., 9 tabs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435975
the probability of a successful attack. This effect decreases and eventually reverses for higher levels of debt. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441503
A framework for developing marketing category management decision support systems (DSS) based upon the Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR) model is extended. Since the BVAR model is vulnerable to permanent and temporary shifts in purchasing patterns over time, a form that can correct for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448786
analyzing health series data and detecting anomalies: using forecasting methods to predict the next day's value, subtracting the … and analyze the performance of a variety of heuristic methods.Second, we describe improvements for the forecasting of … health data series. The application of weather as a predictor, cross-series covariates, and ensemble forecasting each provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450964
increased during and after the crisis. However, we found weak support for contagion in the pre-crisis period. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441578
Mixed model estimation methods were used to fit individual-tree basal area growth models to tree and stand-level measurements available from permanent plots established in naturally regenerated shortleaf pine (Pinus echinata Mill.) even-aged stands in western Arkansas and eastern Oklahoma in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429425
Systematic sampling is easy, efficient, and widely used, though it is not generally recognized that a systematic sample … of them determine which estimators are unbiased, when using the sampling design as the basis for inference. We describe … selection. When the population size is known at the outset, systematic sampling with unrestricted selection is most likely the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429445
inventory of fine woody debris (FWD); however, the sampling protocols involve tallying only the number of FWD pieces by size … class that intersect a sampling transect with no measure of actual size. The line intersect estimator used with those … samples requires a measurement of the quadratic mean diameter (QMD). Published information regarding appropriate QMDs by FWD …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429473