We examine the accuracy of survey-based expectations of the Chilean exchange rate relative to the US dollar. Our out-of-sample analysis reveals that survey-based forecasts outperform the Driftless Random Walk (DRW) in terms of Mean Squared Prediction Error at several forecasting horizons. This...

In this paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of efficiency are not met, the forecast displaying the lowest MSPE will also display the...

Business's accelerated globalization has weakened regulatory capacity of the law and scholars have been paid attention to fraud detection in recent years. In this study, we introduced Random Forest (RF) for financial fraud technique detection and detailed features selection, variables’...

The study presents a review of existing research on bank profitability determinants in Africa. Using the literature review methodology, it was found that bank profitability determinants differ across countries in all regions of Africa. Some suggested areas for future research are to explore the...

We examine the impact of financial inclusion of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) on financial stability. Results show that financial inclusion of SMEs negatively affects stability in SSA countries, and the negative link is even stronger as levels of financial...

We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval Δ and describe the dependences of market-based volatilities of price and return on the volatilities...

The competitiveness of financed intermediaries cannot be based exclusively on financial sustainability, i.e. the ability to create profit, but it is also necessary to acquire a transversal vision of sustainability focused on the three ESG dimensions. The paper intends to propose a reflection on...

This work aims to initiate a reflection on the awareness of environmental, social, and corporate governance issues, summarized in the acronym ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance), among Italian SMEs. The integration of ESG issues into business models has led to an expansion of the risk...