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Prediction is difficult. In this paper we use panel data methods to make reasonably accurate short term ex-post predictions of house prices across 353 local authority areas in England. The issue of prediction over the longer term is also addressed, and a simple method that makes use of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220705
This paper examines the effects of a mortgage interest rate subsidy on boom and bust in the housing market by exploiting the Housing Mortgage (HM) program implemented in Mongolia. Main results are (i) the recent housing boom occurred from 2012Q2 to 2014Q1, while the housing bust lasted four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015218401
There is comparatively little empirical evidence regarding the impacts of cross border business cycle fluctuations on metropolitan housing markets located near international boundaries. This study examines the impacts of economic conditions in Mexico on sales of existing single-family houses in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225776
The aim of this analysis is to predict whether an National Basketball Association (NBA) player will be active in the league for at least 10 years so as to be qualified for NBA's full retirement scheme which allows for the maximum benefit payable by law. We collected per game statistics for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213779
Critical precondition for attaining growth and sustainable development is availability of a host of infrastructural facilities in adequate quantity and of reliable quality. The association between the latter and growth is well documented and a large number of theoretical propositions conclude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215304
This is a summary of the paper entitled : “The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox”. In that paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229363
The successful active portfolio manager has to have at least two main competencies: Felicitous asset allocation choice and the competence to do so at the right point in time. Based on an extension of Grinold and Kahn’s Fundamental Law of Active Management, this paper describes a method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015232555
While there is an increasing interest in crypto-assets, the credit risk of these exchanges is still relatively unexplored. To fill this gap, we consider a unique data set on 144 exchanges active from the first quarter of 2018 to the first quarter of 2021. We analyze the determinants of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015258019
The Ponderal Index (PI) is an essential measure to study physical growth of fetus, infants, newborn babies, adolescents, and adults. Lower PI is found among the malnourish infants and newborn babies and higher in obese ones. PI is also applied in maternity treatment to detect impaired fetal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015270574
Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, die Anwendbarkeit intrinsischer Wertmodelle in dem nach inländischen und ausländischen Investoren segmentierten chinesischen Kapitalmarkt zu untersuchen. Innerhalb des Frameworks der internationalen Portfolio Investment Theorie werden segmentspezifische...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433707