This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

Since the dawn of the concept of nation-states, many nations have been planning their economies to increase people’s prosperity and standard of living. All economies have a centralized feature where decisions are taken. But data collection and plan implementation has been cumbersome because of...

The recent discovery of the Ledenyov digital waves in the economies of scale and scope led to an origination of considerable scientific interest in the modeling of new types of the discrete-time digital signals generators for the business cycles generation in the macroeconomics. Article aims: 1)...

The recent discovery of the Ledenyov digital waves in the economies of scale and scope led to an origination of considerable scientific interest in the modeling of new types of the discrete-time digital signals generators for the business cycles generation in the macroeconomics. Article aims: 1)...

The information, including the knowledge in the science, business and society, is being generated, transmitted, received and analyzed by the humans in the various countries over the centuries. The information is a most valuable asset in possession by the economic agents in the modern economies...

The information, including the knowledge in the science, business and society, is being generated, transmitted, received and analyzed by the humans in the various countries for many centuries. The generated information can be structured, coded, stored and retrieved, representing a most valuable...

In this paper we introduce a “power booster factor” for out-of-sample tests of predictability. The relevant econometric environment is one in which the econometrician wants to compare the population Mean Squared Prediction Errors (MSPE) of two models: one big nesting model, and another...

Dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) price interest rate derivatives based on the modelimplied fair values of the yield curve, ignoring any pricing residuals on the yield curve that are either from model approximations or market imperfections. In contrast, option pricing in practice often takes...

Important lessons which were drawn from the most recent GFC - notably, the growing need for accommodative policies (unconventional and conventional) to facilitate appropriate responses - given limited monetary policy spaces, the emergence, rise and evolution of private actors and their...

The global economy has witnessed significant transformations in recent decades, marked by the emergence of new economic powers and the evolution of financial systems. Within this context, the globalization of currencies has become a crucial aspect of international economic dynamics. This paper...