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We study the economics and finance scholars’ reaction to the 2008 financial crisis using machine learning language …’ studies before 2008. As the crisis unraveled, however, they switched their focus to studying the crisis, its causes, and … crisis is consistent with these conclusions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015267336
Interest rates in the USA and in other countries have experienced persistent and generalised declines since the 1980s. The main interpretations of this phenomenon ignore the role of monetary factors, such as financial and monetary policy. The essay proposes an alternative interpretation based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256887
In this paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of efficiency are not met, the forecast displaying the lowest MSPE will also display the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015241474
expectations derived from financial markets to forecast future economic growth, but that data about the financial system can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215316
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015218476
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219179
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219191
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219750
I study how monetary policy affects firms' external financing decisions. More precisely, I study the transmission mechanism of monetary policy to credit costs in a general equilibrium macroeconomic model where firms issue corporate bonds or obtain bank loans, and corporate bonds are not just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015228280
The basic asset pricing equation is adapted to include the effects of unemployment, consumers’ expectations, the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230142