We proposed a continuous time ARMA known as CARMA(p,q) model for modeling the interest rate dynamics. CARMA(p,q) models have an advantage over their discrete time counterparts that they allow using Ito formulas and provide closed-form solutions for bond and bond option prices. We demonstrate the...

We tested different GARCH models in modeling the volatility of stock returns in London Stock Exchange. The monthly returns of FTSE All Share Index during the period of February 1965 and October 2002 and GARCH, TGARCH, EGARCH, and AGARCH models have been used for the analysis.

In this paper, we develop a vector autoregressive (VAR) model of the Turkish financial markets for the period of June 15 2006 – June 15 2010 and forecasts ISE100 index, TRY/USD exchange rate, and short-term interest rates. The out-of-sample forecast performance of the VAR model is compared...

The CAPM suggests that stock returns are linearly dependent to the market returns. The only risk factor that an asset bears is the market risk which is captured by the asset's beta. But the CAPM equation does not say much about the causal relationship between market and asset returns. In order...

: We examine the volatility spillovers among major Eurozone countries employing the Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) model with time-varying conditional ranges generated from conditional autoregressive range (CARR) model of Chou (2005). The empirical findings, based on a data set covering a fifteen...

In this study, we present a VAR-BEKK model to investigate the co-movements of long-term interest rates between Turkey and four developed (Germany, Japan, USA and UK) markets . We use weekly rates on the 5-year maturity government bonds for the period of February 10, 2006 to September 12, 2014...

The objective of this paper is to model the volatility of Istanbul Stock Exchange market, ISE100 Index by ARMA and GARCH models and then take a step further into the analysis from discrete modeling to continuous modeling. Through applying unit root and stationary tests on the log return of the...

This study aims to construct continuous-time autoregressive (CAR) model and continuous-time GARCH (COGARCH) model from discrete time data of foreign exchange rate of United States Dollar (USD) versus Turkish Lira (TRY). These processes are solutions to stochastic differential equation...

This study aims to construct continuous-time autoregressive (CAR) model and continuous-time GARCH (COGARCH) model from discrete time data of foreign exchange rate of United States Dollar (USD) versus Turkish Lira (TRY). These processes are solutions to stochastic differential equation...

Wavelet coherence of time series provide valuable information about dynamic correlation and its impact on time scales. Here, we analyze the wavelet coherence of major real estate markets data. Our paper is the first to link co-movement in terms of wavelet coherence. Here we consider USA, Canada,...