This draft is a summary of the paper entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate. In that paper we show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of oil prices and of three additional oil-related products: gasoline, propane and heating oil. The...

This paper, using a combination of volatility models i.e. GARCH, TGARCH, and EGARCH, tries to explain the domestic and external factors, responsible for volatility in Pakistan’s sovereign bond yield-to-maturity of various bond tenors. The paper finds out that within domestic factors, apart...

Joint dynamics of market index returns, volume traded and volatility of stock market returns can unveil different dimensions of market microstructure. It can be useful for precise volatility estimation and understanding liquidity of the financial market. In this study, the joint dynamics is...

Immer mehr Unternehmen intensivieren vor dem Hintergrund zunehmender Komplexität sowie technologischer und wettbewerblicher Dynamik ihre Lieferanten- und Kundenbeziehungen bis hin zu engen Partnerschaften. Sie sehen diese als Voraussetzung für dauerhaft wirkende Wettbewerbsvorteile an.// Mit...

We investigate the problem of testing the finiteness of moments for a class of semi-parametric time series encompassing many commonly used specifications. The existence of positive-power moments of the strictly stationary solution is characterized by the Moment Determining Function (MDF) of the...

The present study empirically examines the importance of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) or hot money from certain investor(s) or country(s) on Malaysian economic performance. In methodology, the study uses vector error correction (VECM) model of FPI inflows from major investors such as the...

This study examines the existence of herd behavior among foreign investors in the Malaysian capital market. In methodology, the study analyzes the herd behavior by estimating vector error correction (VECM) model of FPI inflows as well as FPI outflows from/to major investors such as the United...

This paper explores the role of structural change in systems of demand equations. Specifically, we adapt the time—varying regression framework of Lin and Teräsvirta (1994), which in turn is related to the dynamic smooth transition models introduced by Teräsvirta (1994). Unlike previous...

In this paper, we extend Bai and Perron's (1998, Econometrica, pp. 47-78) method for detecting multiple breaks to nonlinear models. To that end, we consider a nonlinear model that can be estimated via nonlinear least squares (NLS) and features a limited number of parameter shifts occurring at...

This paper tests the long run neutrality (LRN) and long run superneutrality (LRSN) propositions using annual observation from 10 member countries of the South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre. The Fisher and Seater (1993) methodology is applied to do the task....