Similar Search Results

Investments model development with the system dynamic method

Skribans, Valerijs - 2010

In the paper model of macroeconomic turnover and its possibilities for investments modelling are shown. The model consists from four blocks: in the first the theoretical model is described. In the second the model is reflected in accordance with the requirements of system dynamics method, there...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015224597

Forecasting tax revenues in an emerging economy: The case of Albania

Sabaj, Ernil; Kahveci, Mustafa - 2018

Fiscal balance is one of the main concerns of fiscal policy. Although academic and political choices on budget deficit vary due to perspective differences, improving the quality of revenue and expenditure forecasting has become prominent. The seminal researches on this topic present that tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015259210

Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending?

Dion, David Pascal - 2006

The traditional consumption function based on the life cycle permanent income hypothesis (LC-PIH) considers that consumer spending is based on households’ expectations of their future income. However, in short-term forecasting, the traditional economic determinants of consumption do not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262148

Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case

Dion, David Pascal - 2006

The following analysis, based on error correction models, suggests that consumer confidence, together with traditional macroeconomic variables, contains a forecasting and explicative power on consumption. By including consumer confidence in a consumption function, consumer confidence releases a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262584

Does Consumer Confidence Forecast Household Spending? The Euro Area Case (Appendix to the main text)

Dion, David Pascal - 2006

Appendix to the main text

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262928

Forecasting Unemployment Rates with International Factors

Pincheira, Pablo; Hernández, Ana María - 2019

In this paper we study international linkages when forecasting unemployment rates in a sample of 24 OECD economies. We propose a Global Unemployment Factor (GUF) and test its predictive ability considering in-sample and out-of-sample exercises. Our main results indicate that the predictive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015266130

A Study on Nonlinear Budget Constraint of a Local Industrial Firm of Bangladesh: A Profit Maximization Investigation

Mohajan, Devajit; Mohajan, Haradhan - 2023

Every local or global firm expects to achieve maximum profit for its survival in sustainable economic environment. This article considers that a local industrial firm of Bangladesh has achieved maximum profit during its total operation. So that this study directly tries to calculate maximum...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015270070

Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP

Tóth, Peter - 2014

contains six monthly indicators, which are retail sales, sales in industry and construction, employment in selected industries …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015247255

Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP

Tóth, Peter - 2014

contains six monthly indicators, which are retail sales, sales in industry and construction, employment in selected industries …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015247501

Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2016

In this paper, we forecast employment growth for Germany with data for the period from November 2008 to November 2015 … indicators, including the Ifo Employment Barometer, to predict unemployment changes. Since the Ifo Employment Barometer focuses … on employment growth instead of unemployment developments, we mirror the study by Hutter and Weber (2015). It turns out …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015250867