This paper proposes a new Bayesian multiple change-point model which is based on the hidden Markov approach. The Dirichlet process hidden Markov model does not require the specification of the number of change-points a priori. Hence our model is robust to model specification in contrast to the...

This paper provides a historical review of the performance of the risk-adjusted momentum strategies when buying and selling stocks according to the alpha estimates of the CAPM and Fama–French regressions. Our sample covers over 60 million US daily firm-return observations. High Sharpe ratios...

In this paper, a duration dependence test for speculative bubbles in the Chinese stock market is developed. It is found that bubbles in the aggregate stock price existed before the split share reform. After the reform, we observe the phenomenon of bubble migration across industries. In...

This paper examines the impact of institutional ownership on the performance of private equity placements (PEPs) for listed firms in China. We find that the presence of institutional investors can alleviate the information asymmetries between listed firms and the market. The market reaction to...

We study the effects of both mandatory and voluntary trading suspensions on stock prices, volatility and trading volume in China’s stock market. It is found that both voluntary and mandatory suspensions generate negative abnormal returns. Trading volume and volatility rise significantly in the...

This paper examines the determinants of exchange rate regime of a country. A competing risks model (CRM) is estimated. It is found that the way a country exits a fixed exchange rate regime is affected nonlinearly by the duration of the peg. In addition, countries with a lower growth rate of...

We investigate the interaction between the real estate market and the business cycle volatility in China over the past two decades. A Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with nominal stickiness and collateral constraints is estimated. It is found that shocks from the...