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Population Dynamics and Household Saving: Evidence from the Philippines
Mapa, Dennis S; Bersales, Lisa Grace S - 2008
The economic growth implications due to changes in the nation’s age structure have been substantial. In the course of the demographic transition, countries experience an increasing share of the working age population relative to the total population and this creates favorable effects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220769
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Investments model development with the system dynamic method
Skribans, Valerijs - 2010
In the paper model of macroeconomic turnover and its possibilities for investments modelling are shown. The model consists from four blocks: in the first the theoretical model is described. In the second the model is reflected in accordance with the requirements of system dynamics method, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015224597
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Using sentiment to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - 2008
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230542
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Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle - 2007
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015232845
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Modeling the Open Macro-Economy of Vietnam
Lord, Montague - 1998
The present macroeconomic model aims to provide a theory-consistent representation of the general structure of the Viet Nam economy and, as such, it offers real and financial sector forecasting and policy simulation capabilities targeted to the needs of the State Bank of Viet Nam. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015233642
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European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development
Skribans, Valerijs - 2012
The formation of the European Union (EU) is the one of the biggest political – economic events of the last 50 years. The aim of this study is to develop EU economy functioning system dynamic model. Main research method is system dynamics. General scheme of EU economy system dynamic model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015238380
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VAR, ARIMA, Üstsel Düzleme, Karma ve İlave-Faktör Yöntemlerinin Özel Tüketim Harcamalarına ait Ex Post Öngörü Başarılarının Karşılaştırılması
Bilgili, Faik - 2002
consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private consumption, for VAR method, the Turkish GDP data is employed for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254084
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BUDGET POLICY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA. OPTIMAL BUDGET RULE
Skrypnik, Dmitriy - 2016
The article shows that actual public expenditure in the period of rapid oil prices growth of the 2000s was less than optimal level in Russia. The macroeconomic model of Russian economy is the basis of current research. The main mechanism of growth in an optimum scenario is associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254253
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Life-Cycle Consumption: Can Single Agent Models Get it Right?
Bick, Alexander; Choi, Sekyu - 2011
data. In this paper, we study differences between consumption predictions from a single agent model and "adult equivalent …" consumption predictions from a model where household size evolves deterministically over the life-cycle and affects individual … preferences for consumption. Using a theoretical model we prove that, under mild conditions, these predictions are different. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225729
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Life-Cycle Consumption: Can Single Agent Models Get it Right?
Bick, Alexander; Choi, Sekyu - 2011
data. In this paper, we study differences between consumption predictions from a single agent model and "adult equivalent …" consumption predictions from a model where household size evolves deterministically over the life-cycle and affects individual … preferences for consumption. Using a theoretical model we prove that, under mild conditions, these predictions are different. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225962