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Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile

Pincheira, Pablo; Neumann, Federico - 2018

We examine the accuracy of survey-based expectations of the Chilean exchange rate relative to the US dollar. Our out … Error at several forecasting horizons. This result holds true even when comparing the survey to a more competitive benchmark …: survey-based forecasts outperform a “pure luck” benchmark at several forecasting horizons. Differing from the traditional “no …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262273

Digital waves in economics

Ledenyov, Dimitri O.; Ledenyov, Viktor O. - 2015

The recent discovery of the Ledenyov digital waves in the economies of scale and scope led to an origination of considerable scientific interest in the modeling of new types of the discrete-time digital signals generators for the business cycles generation in the macroeconomics. Article aims: 1)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015247824

Digital waves in economics

Ledenyov, Dimitri O.; Ledenyov, Viktor O. - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015247928

General information product theory in economics science

Ledenyov, Dimitri O.; Ledenyov, Viktor O. - 2015

The information, including the knowledge in the science, business and society, is being generated, transmitted, received and analyzed by the humans in the various countries over the centuries. The information is a most valuable asset in possession by the economic agents in the modern economies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015247929

General information product theory in economics science

Ledenyov, Dimitri O.; Ledenyov, Viktor O. - 2015

The information, including the knowledge in the science, business and society, is being generated, transmitted, received and analyzed by the humans in the various countries for many centuries. The generated information can be structured, coded, stored and retrieved, representing a most valuable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015248001

Precise measurement of macroeconomic variables in time domain using three dimensional wave diagrams

Ledenyov, Dimitri O.; Ledenyov, Viktor O. - 2016

Article considers a research problem on the precise measurement of the macroeconomic variables changes in the time domain in the macroeconomics science. We propose to use the three dimensional (3D) wave diagram in the macroeconomics science for the first time, aiming to accurately characterize...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015250844

Precise measurement of macroeconomic variables in time domain using three dimensional wave diagrams

Ledenyov, Dimitri O.; Ledenyov, Viktor O. - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015250865

Forecast Evaluation in Macroeconomics and International Finance. Ph.D. thesis, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA.

Bespalova, Olga - 2018

This dissertation focuses on forecasting rare macroeconomic events, such as GDP declines and currency crises, using non … qualitative information from expert surveys and textual analysis in macroeconomic forecasting. Chapter 1 shows that the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015270259

BUDGET POLICY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIA. OPTIMAL BUDGET RULE

Skrypnik, Dmitriy - 2016

The article shows that actual public expenditure in the period of rapid oil prices growth of the 2000s was less than optimal level in Russia. The macroeconomic model of Russian economy is the basis of current research. The main mechanism of growth in an optimum scenario is associated with the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254253

Credit Expansion, the Prisoner´s Dilemma, and Free Banking as Mechanism Design

van den Hauwe, Ludwig - 2008

Despite the distinctive character of the Austrian approach to “microfoundations for macroeconomics”, the literature on free banking contains a number of arguments which make use of game-theoretic concepts and models such as the well-known Prisoner´s Dilemma model. While there can be no...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215390