Over the recent decades researchers in academia and central banks have developed early warning systems (EWS) designed to warn policy makers of potential future economic and financial crises. These EWS are based on diverse approaches and empirical models. In this paper we compare the performance...

We study the interplay between monetary policy and housing tenure decisions and how this channel affects monetary policy transmission in the business cycle. We show that monetary policy shocks are an important driver of fluctuations in the aggregate rate of homeownership in the United States,...

We show that monetary policy affects homeownership decisions and argue that this effect is an important and overlooked channel of monetary policy transmission. We first document that monetary policy shocks are a substantial driver of fluctuations in the U.S. homeownership rate and that monetary...