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In this article we provide an asymptotic distribution theory for some nonparametric tests of the hypothesis that asset prices have continuous sample paths. We study the behaviour of the tests using simulated data and see that certain versions of the tests have good finite sample behavior. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441541
This article shows that realized power variation and its extension, realizedbipower variation, which we introduce here, are somewhat robust to rarejumps. We demonstrate that in special cases, realized bipower variation estimates integrated variance in stochastic volatility models, thus providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441547
absolute increments of various semimartingales. A special case of this analysis is realised variance and its probability limit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441482
This paper looks at some recent work on estimating quadratic variation using realized variance (RV) - that is, sums of M squared returns. This econometrics has been motivated by the advent of the common availability of high-frequency financial return data. When the underlying process is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441446
There is a growing need to model the dynamics of electricity spot prices. While many studies have adopted the jump-diffusion model used successfully in traditional financial markets, the distinctive features of energy prices present non-trivial challenges. In particular, electricity price series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448611
This dissertation consists of three related chapters that study financial market volatility,jumps and the economic factors behind them. Each of the chapters analyzes adifferent aspect of this problem.The first chapter examines tests for jumps based on recent asymptotic results.Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475503
The question how to allocate capital best is as old as financial markets themselves. Maximizing expected gains only might be a good approach but cannot be the best answer because usually high expected gains are driven by highly speculative and risky investments.In this thesis we study economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452647
We provide a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement, modeling, and forecasting of daily and lower frequency return volatilities and return distributions. Mostprocedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities, correlations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475490
Limit distribution results on realized power variation, that is, sums of absolute powers of increments of a process, are derived for certain types of semimartingale with continuous local martingale component, in particular for a class of flexible stochastic volatility models. The theory covers,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441447
The behavioral origins of the stylized facts of financial returns have been addressed in a growing body of agent-based models of financial markets. While the traditional efficient market viewpoint explains all statistical properties of returns by similar features of the news arrival process, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429011