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The unconventional monetary policy of forward guidance operates through the management of expectations about future paths of interest rates. This paper examines the link between expectations formation and the effectiveness of forward guidance. A standard New Keynesian model is extended to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015248150
Central bank forward guidance emerged as a pertinent tool for monetary policymakers since the Great Recession. Nevertheless, the effects of forward guidance remain unclear. This paper investigates the effectiveness of forward guidance while relaxing two standard macroeconomic assumptions:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015251672
This paper conducts the first assessment of the optimal monetary policy in the case of behavioral New Keynesian model proposed by Gabaix (2016). Consistent with the previous studies, I find that monetary policy under commitment continues to be important for optimal policy, but the optimal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015253683
Inflation expectations play a key role for a central bank under an inflation targeting regime. This paper analyses the inflation expectations of economic agents answering the Survey of Macroeconomic Expectations run by the Central Bank of the Dominican Republic (BCRD). Data is dis-aggregated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254283
This study examines the expectational stability of the rational expectation equilibria(REE) under Taylor rules when trend inflation is non-zero. We find that whether or not a higher (lower) trend inflation makes the REE more (less) unstable depends largely on the data (such as contemporaneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015218036
This work analyses the implications, in terms of determinacy and E-stability of equilibrium, of a policy rule that responds to private sector expectations in forward looking models. In the literature, this type of policy has been both recommended and criticized. We try to understand the reasons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219588
This study examines the expectational stability of the rational expectations equilibria (REE) under alternative Taylor rules when trend inflation is non-zero. We find that when trend inflation is high, the REE is likely to be expectationally unstable. This result holds true regardless of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015221798
This paper disputes what Blanchard and Kahn have reported as the solution of linear rational expectation(RE) systems many years ago. Their method leads to traditional determinacy condition which is used very much nowadays. In this paper we have a new look to the mathematical procedure of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225334
The rational expectations hypothesis for survey and model-based inflation forecasts − from the Survey of Professional Forecasters and the Greenbook respectively − is examined by properly taking into account the persistence characteristics of the data. The finding of near-unit-root effects in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225751
The rational expectations hypothesis for survey and model-based inflation forecasts − from the Survey of Professional Forecasters and the Greenbook respectively − is examined by properly taking into account the persistence characteristics of the data. The finding of near-unit-root effects in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015225852