Article on the use of system analysis methodology for modeling socio-economic processes. The author justifies the methodological approach, based on dynamic analysis of exogenous processes in economic and social management practices. Particular attention is paid to the use of index indicators...

The paper shows that the world economic stratification, as well as that of all natural, social and political systems is a natural law and a prerequisite for progress. Stratification itself may mean, however, both the remedy, but also the demise of systems, by exacerbating social inequalities....

This paper presents a regression procedure for inhomogeneous data characterized by varying variance, skewness and kurtosis or by an unequal amount of data over the estimation domain. The concept is based first on the estimation of the densities of an observed variable for given values of...

Recent financial crises and especially large corporate bankruptcies, have led bank managements and financial authorities to follow and monitor both financial and real sector risks, and to focus on firm failures. Bank of International Settlements, has therefore, taken the decision to include the...

This work introduces a novel approach to the visualization of correlation tables, guided by positive and negative significance thresholds of correlation coefficients. Traditional methods for visualizing correlation matrices often rely on heuristic color schemes, which lack a robust analytical...

In this paper we have found an analytical formula for a copula that connects the numbers Ni of customers in the nodes of a Gordon and Newell queueing network. We have considered two cases: the first one is the case of the network with 2 nodes, and the second one is the case of the network with...

In the present document it is exposed in an abstract way the models of credit portfolioes CreditMetricsTM, KMV, CreditRisk+, Credit Portfolio View in such a way that they could be calibrated and implemented in financial institutions where the quality and quantity of credit information is scanty,...

Estimation of portfolio expected credit loss is required for IFRS9 regulatory purposes. It starts with the estimation of scenario loss at loan level, and then aggregated and summed up by scenario probability weights to obtain portfolio expected loss. This estimated loss can vary significantly,...

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/noparametric inference is the norm in several fields of applied econometric work....

While the Generalized Error Distribution (GED) has been used quite extensively in time series applications and has demonstrated a sound flexibility in the estimation process, there is so far no attempt to use this function in the construction of Copulas. Copulas are probability functions that...