This paper presents a simple stochastic model of proportionate growth to describe international trade and it applies this set-up to the relationship between export dynamics and economic development. Trade flows are assumed to grow as a geometric Brownian motion while new trade links follow a...

In this paper, we analyze the link between virtual water trade, that is, the flow of water embodied in the international trade of agricultural goods, and vulnerability to external shocks from the vantage point of network analysis. While a large body of work has shown that virtual water trade can...

The aim of the paper is to investigate the main determinants of the bilateral virtual water ‘flows’ associated with international trade in agricultural goods across the Mediterranean basin. Virtual water refers to the volume of water used in the production of a commodity or a service. The...

In this paper we intend to discuss the relationship between long term development trajectories, which in principle can be expected to affect the functioning of all economic systems, and the deviations which can be expected to occur at a local level in particular countries or regions. We will...

We develop a new methodology for evolutionary economic modelling, based upon the ‘micro-meso-macro’ analytical framework for dealing with behaviour in complex economic systems. This new methodology involves a combination of computational, historical and econometric methods. It is argued that...