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For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230546
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230637
Discussion of "The Pricing Behavior of Firms in the Euro Area: New Survey Evidence" by S. Fabiani, M. Druant, I. Hernando, C. Kwapil, B. Landau, C. Loupias, F. Martins, T. Mathä, R. Sabbatini, H. Stahl, and A. Stockman (2004); Presented at the Inflation Persistence Network (IPN) Conference on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015226668
Presented is an evolutionary model of consumer non-durable markets, which is an extension of a previously published paper on consumer durables. The model suggests that the repurchase process is governed by preferential growth. Applying statistical methods it can be shown that in a competitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015228737
The paper seeks to integrate the theoretical developments in the field of imperfect competition and monopoly, and operation of the firm in such conditions, with the theories of income distribution, particularly among the macroeconomic aggregates of capital and labor. And formulating a working...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015234937
Tests for causality and rationality in the coffee futures market were carried out using data from the New York Market. Tests of causality indicated that futures prices strongly influence variations in spot price eight weeks or more to maturity. However, beginning seven weeks to maturity there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015247738
The Banks&Businesses Regional Observatory on Economy and Finance (OBI) and the University of Tirana carried on the first qualitative survey on Albanian enterprises between July and September 2008. The main advantages of qualitative surveys are that they are able to catch the “business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230135
The argument made in this manuscript is that the two traditional macroeconomic tools, fiscal policy and monetary policy, are insufficient to bring back efficiently into equilibrium an economy that has had a major crisis. Both traditional macro-tools only work through the demand side, and there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214329
The sources of inflation are explained by different theoretical approaches in the framework of these theories and their basic assumptions. For this reason, prescriptions presented to reduce inflation are shaped according to the basic assumptions of theories. Naturally, the reasons for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214455
This paper analyzes the transmission of inflation across the five largest economies in the European Monetary Union, i.e. France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain. We use monthly CPI inflation rates for the period 1970-2006. Given the long observation period and the continuing economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217684