This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

This article presents a new model for valuing a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by multiple credit risks of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset pricing. In fact, correlated default risk is one of the most...

A new alternative diffusion model for asset price movements is presented. In contrast to the popular approach of Brownian motion it proposes deterministic diffusion for the modelling of stock price movements. These diffusion processes are a new area of physical research and can be created by the...

This paper presents a new alternative diffusion model for asset price movements. In contrast to the popular approach of Brownian Motion it proposes Deterministic Diffusion for the modelling of stock price movements. These diffusion processes are a new area of physical research and can be created...

The Heteroskedastic Mixture Model (HMM) of Lamoureux, and Lastrapes (1990) is extended, relaxing the restriction imposed on the mean i.e. μt-1=0 . Instead, an exogenous variable rm, along with its vector βm, that predicts return rt is introduced to examine the hypothesis that the volume is a...

This paper examines the impact of the Malaysian Syariah Advisory Council’s (SAC) decision on stock eligibility. Specifically, we address four questions related to returns and trading volume of stocks in relation to the SAC’s decision to add or delete a stock to their list of halal stocks....

Despite blockchain based digital assets trading since 2009, there has been a functional gap between (1) on-chain transactions and (2) trust based centralized exchanges. This is now bridged with the success of Uniswap, a decentralized exchange. Uniswap's constant product automated market maker...

This paper contains a game-theoretic model describing the behaviour of investors at a stock exchange. The model presented is developed to reect the actual market microstructure. The players constitute a non-uniform continuum, differing, among others, by the planning horizon, the external ow of...