Após a abertura comercial em 1998, grandes mudanças ocorreram no comércio exteriornacional devido sucessivos choques cambiais aos quais a economia foi exposta. A literaturade referência sugere que grandes choques na taxa de câmbio induzem mudanças persistentesna relação entre a taxa de...

This paper empirically examines the impact of oil price volatility on key macroeconomic indicators of Thailand. Following Andersen et al. [2004. Analytical evaluation of volatility forecasts. International Economic Review 45(4), 1079-1110], quarterly oil price volatility is measured by using the...

Public capital has been considered to be the wheels of economic activity in a nation or region. The reverse effect, the contribution of economic growth to public capital, is also worth analysis. The non-structural vector auto-regression (VAR) approach is performed for the Australian economy...

In most instances, the dynamic response of monetary and other policies to shocks is infrequent and lumpy. The same holds for the microeconomic response of some of the most important economic variables, such as investment, labor demand, and prices. We show that the standard practice of estimating...

We show that several shocks identifi ed without restrictions from a model, and frequently used in the empirical literature, display some persistence. We demonstrate that the two leading methods to recover impulse responses to shocks (moving average representations and local projections) treat...

Rationale Cyclical fluctuations in investment are usually sharper than fluctuations in other components of aggregate demand. This article aims to analyse, based on an econometric model, the role played by interest rates, demand and agents’ confidence (the drivers traditionally studied in the...