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The furore and chaos created by the Asian financial crisis have ignited many studies on numerous subjects, and it is believed that the crisis has changed the way nations being administered and policies formed and implemented especially those regarding monetary and fiscal policies. Johansen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215006
This paper argues that, in the September 1992 European currency crisis, market trends in derivatives, in terms of price volatility and change in volumes traded, might have represented an early indicator, in reference to the spot market, of the lack of confidence in the ability of the Italian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215623
Summary. This is an extended working paper version of the paper that appeared in Economic Theory. It paper compares the merits of alternative exchange rate regimes in small open economies where financial intermediaries perform a real allocative function, there are multiple reserve requirements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217822
We model a typical Asian-crisis-economy using dynamic general equilibrium tech-niques. Exchange rates obtain from nontrivial fiat-currencies demands. Sudden stops/bank-panics are possible, and key for evaluating the merits of alternative ex-change rate regimes. Strategic complementarities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217851
This paper attempts to examine the weak form of market efficiency in the Indian foreign exchange market using a family of variance ratio tests. Monthly Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) data from April 1993-June 2010 were used for the analysis. NEER series was considered for the analysis as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230877
In this paper we show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of the London Metal Exchange Index and of the six primary non-ferrous metals that are part of the index: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. The economic relationship hinges on the present-value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015258752
In this paper, we explore the weak form efficiency of Ghana’s foreign exchange (FX) market and analyse the existence of speculative activity and correlated shocks in the market. We use high and low frequency data covering May 31, 1999 to November 30, 2017. For robustness, four rigorous methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015260336
This paper attempts to address one major problem with bubble studies: the difficulty to rigorously compare assets bubbles (that is to say compare them via quantitative data, rather than simply anecdotal evidence). The idea of the paper is to use a metric that is not the level of price itself,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262021
The 1997 Asian crisis triggered major breakthroughs in ways in which financial vulnerability, and in particular currency crises, are modeled and explained. This paper discusses some of these developments in three steps. First, a stylized simple model explaining self-fulfilling crises is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015263639
This paper examines the impact of foreign exchange rate risk on the expected return of a South African investor’s portfolio. A GJR-GARCH based Value at Risk (VaR) model was used to compute the upside and downside risk measures. Data sample of ten emerging stock markets were utilized: from 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015265917