Kelly staking method has been shown to maximize long-term growth of bankroll. However, it demands for the estimation of the true probabilities for each event. As a result many sport tipsters have abandoned this staking method and opted for a flat staking plan ('unit loss') or, less frequently,...

This paper tackles the mixed-frequency modeling problem from a new perspective. Instead of drawing upon the common distributed lag polynomial model, we use a transfer function representation to develop a new type of models, named TF-MIDAS. We derive the theoretical TF-MIDAS implied by the...

This paper tackles the mixed-frequency modeling problem from a new perspective. Instead of drawing upon the common distributed lag polynomial model, we use a transfer function representation to develop a new type of models, named TF-MIDAS. We derive the theoretical TF-MIDAS implied by the...

We develop a theoretical framework that explains the decision-making process of banks concerning the allocation of credit to two sectors: (i) households seeking real estate assets, and (ii) companies requiring capital for consumer goods production. By analyzing the interaction between the credit...

Este artículo describe una metodología que permite contrastar la convergencia absoluta y relativa del nivel general de precios (en media y varianza), basada en un modelo de precios relativos que incluye un proceso de transición y permite medir la velocidad de convergencia de precios entre un...

Este documento propone un modelo estadístico y un marco conceptual para estimar la volatilidad de la inflación suponiendo rational inattention, donde la caída del nivel de atención responde a la llegada de noticias al mercado. Estimamos la tendencia y la volatilidad condicional de la...