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We study the behavior of real exchange rates in a two-country dynamic equilibrium model. In this model, consumers can only consume domestic goods but can invest costlessly in capital stocks of both countries. Nevertheless, transporting goods between the two countries is costly and, hence, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440709
Using long-span data on the dollar-sterling and dollar-franc real exchange rates over the past two centuries, we apply the findings of various strands of the recent literature in order to examine the statistical and economic significance of the Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effect (the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440727
This paper provides a new perspective on the expectations building mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected exchange rate changes. In doing so, we assess real-time survey data for 29 economies from 2002 to 2023...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213343
The global economy has witnessed significant transformations in recent decades, marked by the emergence of new economic powers and the evolution of financial systems. Within this context, the globalization of currencies has become a crucial aspect of international economic dynamics. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213345
This paper estimates the exchange market pressure (EMP) in four Central European countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) over the period 1993-2006. Therefore, it is one of very few studies focused on this region and the very first paper applying concurrently model-dependent as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213394
This paper investigates the determinants of financial dollarization in emerging market economies, a phenomenon where domestic residents hold large shares of their portfolios in foreign currencies. In addition to common explanatory variables, this paper places an emphasis on central banks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213405
The purpose of this study is to examine the potential linkages among ASEAN-5 currencies, in particular the possibility of Singapore dollar bloc during the pre- and post crisis periods by using Johansen multivariate cointegration test and Granger causality test. Significant non-stationarity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213714
The purpose of this paper is to examine the asymmetric behavior in the adjustment of exchange rate pass-through to consumer price index in Thailand. This research applies advanced threshold cointegration model proposed by Enders and Siklos (2001). Both the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213715
China was extremely successful in recent decades in managing external equilibrium in the short and medium term using three mechanisms to cushion the balance of payments shocks. First, it maintained a flexible rate, so could adjust to the fluctuations in trade balance and capital flows via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213832
There is ongoing debate in empirical research regarding the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports and economic growth. While some studies argue that exchange rate volatility positively influences these economic variables, others suggest negative or negligible effects. This study seeks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213838