Econometrics is the area of statistics concerned in analyzing economic data, for both economic and business applications. This document, introduces the intermediate concepts of this area, for students already familiarized with basic econometric theory. In particular, topics concerning...

As a result of the adverse macroeconomic effect of inflation on welfare, fiscal budgeting, trade performance, international competitiveness and the whole economy, inflation still remains a subject of utmost concern and interest to policy makers. The traditional Philips curve as well as other...

The constructed macroeconomic model of Russian economy is presented. The model takes into account the key features of behavioral mechanism, economic policy mechanism, and key structural features of the economy for medium and short periods. We model the budget rule mechanism, consider interaction...

The aim of the paper is to study the nature of normalization in Structural VAR models. Noting that normalization is the integral part of identification of a model, we provide a general characterization of the normalization. In consequence some the easy–to–check conditions for a Structural...

Abstract: This paper continues a research born in 1993 as a consequence of the concern regarding the increase in Colombian violence, and especially for its escalation during the 1990’s, its objective is to create an econometric model capable of forecasting the path of terrorist murder under...

state spaces with periodically time-varying transition probabilities is introduced. The finite-dimensional probability distributions of these time-periodic chains are first studied and their correspondence with the marginal distributions and transition probabilities is shown. Then, the concepts...

A unified theory of periodically homogeneous Markov chains on countable state spaces with periodically time-varying transition probabilities is introduced. The finite-dimensional probability distributions of these time-periodic chains are first studied and their correspondence with the marginal...

In many countries the state heavily intervenes in the agricultural sector. For instance, domestic prices of agricultural products are regulated by import quotas, export subsidies and intervention prices. Furthermore, coupled or decoupled payments as well as several other subsidies (e.g. for...

Many statistical analyses are based on models containing systems of structurally related equations. In cases where cross-equation disturbances are correlated, full information methods are required (Zellner, 1962). If exogenous variables are stochastically dependent on the disturbances in the...

Becker’s analysis of crime and punishment has initiated a series of theoretical and empirical works investigating the determinants of crime. However, there is a dearth of literature in the context of developing countries. This paper is an attempt to address this deficiency. The paper...