Showing 1 - 10 of 4,219
Stationarity of hedge ratios can be viewed as a first step for portfolio hedging since it represents that the … sensitivity of spot and futures returns follow a process whose main characteristics do not depend on time. However, we provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015218391
This paper proposes a new approach to estimate general stationary diffusion processes that describe the evolution of unobserved arrival rates of credit events on sovereign bonds, allowing for arbitrary parametric drift and diffusion specifications. The solutions and transition processes for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015260419
Systemic risk is a very important but very complex notion in banking and how to measure it adequately is challenging …. We introduce a new framework for measuring systemic risk by using a risk-adjusted balance sheet approach. The measure … models credit risk of banks as a put option on bank assets, a tradition that originated with Merton. We conceive of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015244265
This article develops a new framework for modeling the dynamics of commodity forward curves and pricing commodity derivatives. The model accommodates a generic calibration procedure to ensure that the model prices for vanilla options match exactly the market prices. Empirically we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015268443
show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of oil prices and of three additional oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229382
causality between oil price changes and the aggregate stock market returns of France, Italy, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab … Emirates. We provide strong empirical evidence that oil price changes cause aggregate stock returns for the two oil … extent, useful predictors of the equity returns of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015269326
The accurate forecast of the foreign currencies exchange rates at the ultra high frequency electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets is a main topic of our research: 1) the present state of the foreign currencies exchange markets in Asia, Europe and North America; 2) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249544
comovement amongst returns. First, across all indices, persistent high-volatility spells always coincide with macroeconomic … slowdowns. This confirms that market volatility increases as a result of shifts in the perception of macroeconomic risk. Second …. Third, since the late 1990s returns have been hit more often by high-volatility common shocks, likely because of larger and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015253703
the ECM-GARCH model (capturing volatility clustering) provides best hedging ratios, while CCC-ARCH is superior to OLS, ECM …This paper examines hedging in South African stock index futures market. The hedge ratios are estimated by six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015265295
This paper investigates the links between price returns for seven commodities and Shariah-compliant equities (developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015244295