We introduce a two-country no-arbitrage term-structure model to analyse the joint dynamics of bond yields, macroeconomic variables and the exchange rate. The model allows to understand how exogenous shocks to the exchange rate affect the yield curves, how bond yields co-move in different...

We propose a single-period portfolio selection model which allows the decision maker to easily deal with uncertainty about the distribution of asset returns. The model is preference-based and relies upon a separate parametrization of risk aversion and ambiguity aversion. A particular...

Around the turn of the Twentieth century, US and euro area long-term bond yields experienced a remarkable decline and remained at historically low levels even in the face of rising short-term rates (the so called "conundrum"). This unusual phenomenon has been analyzed by many researchers through...

In recent years, US and euro area long-term bond yields experienced a remarkable decline and remained at historically low levels even in the face of rising short-term rates. This unusual phenomenon (the so called ”conundrum”) has been the subject of numerous debates and extensive research....

This paper builds a general test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis – a test that can be interpreted as an extension of the normal correlation theorem. Contagion is defined as a structural break in the data generating process of rates of return. Using a...