Showing 1 - 6 of 6
In this paper we examine conditional versus unconditional forecasting with a version of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) of the euro area designed for use in the context of the macroeconomic projection exercises at the European Central Bank (ECB). We first analyse the out-of-sample forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254808
In a search and matching environment, this paper assesses a range of modeling setups against macro evidence for the monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area. In particular, we assess right-to-manage vs. efficient bargaining, flexible vs. sticky wages, interactions at the firm level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530261
Este documento examina el mecanismo de transmission de la politica monetaria en un grupo de paises europeos mediante modelos dinamicos heterogeneos estimados de forma bayesiana. Utilizando evidencia relativa a Alemania, Francia, Italia y España anterior al establecimiento de la UME, se muestra...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012529972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530039
We study the effects that the Maastricht treaty, the creation of the ECB, and the Euro changeover had on the dynamics of European business cycles using a panel VAR and data from ten European countries - seven from the Euro area and three outside of it. There are slow changes in the features of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530262
We investigate heterogeneity and spillovers in macro-financial linkages across developed economies, with a particular emphasis on the most recent recession. A panel Bayesian VAR model including real and financial variables identifies a statistically signifi cant common component, which proves to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530404