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variation, raising the question of a bubble. I carry out two different bubbles tests, the results of both of which are …. I examine if the price can be explained by marginal abatement costs as predicted by economic theory, or if there were … consistent with the presence of an allowance price bubble. I then address whether market manipulation by dominant power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450863
of speculative bubble, which is analyzed in Essay 2, is understood as an excess of the equilibrium price over the current … disagreement leads to a speculative bubble, which is independent on any observed history of data. I extend this example by adding … techniques to analyze the dynamics of a speculative bubble in a very special case of a Markov dividend process and the prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009462812
bubbles, a bubble itself is not sufficient to cause real-side disruption. What central bankers should learn from Japan …Did monetary ease in the 1980s cause Japan's bubble, as is often suggested? Drawing on both a new cross … conclude the bubble was just as likely to occur whatever monetary policy within reason would have done. Did the bubble's burst …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009472319
It has been widely assumed that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market after1999.This paper analyzes the extent … to which that was true. We define a bubble as: (1) a regime shift that is characterized by a change in the properties of … was less apparent in the likely bubble candidate cities along the coasts, which had shown high growth in the past. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476926
In modeling expectation formation, economic agents are usually viewed as forming expectations adaptively or in accordance with some rationality postulate. We offer an alternative nonlinear model where agents exchange their opinions and information with each other. Such a model yields multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447863
Incluye bibliografía ; Este documento estudia la dinámica de los precios de las acciones en un modelo tipo «árbol de Lucas» en el que los inversores tienen vidas finitas y aprenden de su propia experiencia. Los individuos actualizan sus expectativas mediante aprendizaje bayesiano basado en...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530357
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009449676
The article examines the properties of generalized method of moments GMM estimators of utility function parameters. The research strategy is to apply the GMM procedure to generated data on asset returns from stochastic exchange economies; discrete methods and Markov chain models are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475496
theory. The main objective of this study is to provide a statistical technique to assist hospital sta in deciding whether the … data and apply the theory to monitor the occurrence of orthopaedic wound infection and Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483439
constraints implied by economic theory, leading to estimated elasticities and shadow prices that are incorrectly signed, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448063