The Chinese urban society in recent years has shown rising age at first marriage and declining marriage rates, especially among professional females with at least college degrees in their late 20s or their 30s. We exploit two nationally representative datasets over the period 2008-2012 and...

We deal with smoothed estimators for conditional probability functions of discrete-valued time series (Y-1) under two different settings. When the conditional distribution of Y-1 given its lagged values falls in a parametric family and depends on exogenous random variables, a smoothed maximum...