After a decade of high growth, the Russian econoomy is experiencing a slowdown in the wake of the global financial crisis. While Russia's strong short-term macroeconomic fundamentals make it better than many emerging economies to deal with the crisis, its underlying structural weaknesses and...

The characteristics of Japanese transnational automotive and electronic manufacturers in their overseas operations form a major topic of analysis. This paper discusses the data from Japanese electronics and automotive (auto and auto parts) manufacturers that were subjects of the author’s...

In this paper we explore the ‘Mrs. Machlup's Wardrobe’ hypothesis to understand the growing trend of Latin American economies amassing large stocks of international reserves. Using annual data from 1980 to 2007, we examine the relevance of the argument that economies continue to add to their...

A key challenge facing most emerging market economies today is how to simultaneously maintain monetary independence, exchange rate stability and financial integration subject to the constraints imposed by the Trilemma, in the era of deepening globalization. In this paper we study the Trilemma...

This is a summary of the paper entitled : “The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox”. In that paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of...

This paper employs panel data instrumental variable regression and threshold effect estimation methods to study the link between real effective exchange rate volatility and total factor productivity growth on a sample of 74 countries on six non overlapping sub-periods spanning in total from 1975...

Is there a J-curve for Azerbaijan? In answering this question, we are estimating a bilateral trade model for Azerbaijan vis-à-vis its major trading partner – Europe. The Johansen approach to cointegration and error correction modeling is employed. We analyze the total bilateral trade turnover...

A key challenge facing most emerging market economies today is how to simultaneously maintain monetary independence, exchange rate stability and financial integration subject to the constraints imposed by the Trilemma, in an era of widespread globalization. In this paper we overview and contrast...

Will capital controls enhance macro economy stability? How will the results be influenced by the exchange rate regime and monetary policy reaction? Are the consequences of policy decisions involving capital controls easily predictable, or more complicated than may have been anticipated? We will...

This paper investigates the current situation of foreign exchange reserves in WAEMU countries. After exposing their sources, it analyzes adequacy ratios. Therefore, in order to assess whether the accumulation of these reserves is in line with fundamentals, we estimate a reserve demand function....