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An anchoring adjusted Capital Asset Pricing Model (ACAPM) is developed in which the payoff volatilities of well-established stocks are used as starting points that are adjusted to form volatility judgments about other stocks. Anchoring heuristic implies that such adjustments are typically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249509
I model a scenario in which investors do not know the payoff distributions of relatively newer firms and use the payoff distribution of similar well-established firms as starting points. The starting distributions are then adjusted for size, volatility, and other differences. Anchoring bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015250368
What happens when the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is adjusted for the anchoring and adjustment heuristic of Tversky and Kahneman (1974)? The surprising finding is that adjusting CAPM for anchoring provides a plausible unified framework for understanding almost all of the key asset pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015250885
The theory of fair geometric returns, F theory for short, rejects the generally accepted notion that volatility is the risk of risky assets. Instead, it claims that capital market volatility, in turn, constitutes the maximum achievable geometric return. In order to get to the point, F theory, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015260519
What happens when information reaches the human brain? In economics, a black box approach to information absorption is generally taken with an implicit assumption that, information, once it reaches the brain, is correctly processed. In sharp contrast, research in brain sciences has established...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015212156
Studies on the financial markets proved that not all calendar anomalies are persistent in time. Some of them experienced various types of changes, including passing from the classical form to an extended one, with an enlarged specific time interval. This paper approaches the Holiday Effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015212171
The main thesis in this manuscript is that a social choice theory based on aggregating individual preferences and values is insufficient to confront the social choices that today’s world is facing. It is defended in here that institutions play a critical role in any social choice, and that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214328
In less than fifteen years, the world has experienced the worst financial crisis since the 1930’s, the worst global pandemic since the flu in 1918, and the largest war fought since the Second World War. This manuscript argues that these crises are not isolated events. The main thesis is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214330
Traditional finance explains the investment process on rational and logical grounds based on the assumption of rationality of average investor. This paper attempts to understand why traditional finance models fail to capture stock market movements and how behavioral finance explains that failure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015236219
This paper explores Month-of-the-year effects in returns and in volatilities of the Bucharest Stock Exchange. Our investigation covers two periods: the first one, from January 2000 to January 2006, corresponds to the last stage of Romania’s transition to a capitalist system, while the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015240253