Using quarterly data on commercial banks operating in Pakistan over a period of 2002-2014, this study finds that banking sector in Pakistan takes more risk during ease and infection ratio increases with a rise in policy rate. In addition, with lower return on asset and small capital base, banks...

Our goal in this paper is two-fold. First, we develop a class of term structure models that allow for the role of bounded rationality by incorporating either information-processing constraint or fear for mis-specification into affine term structure models. We indentify a set of sufficient...

Financial deepening plays a pivotal role in fostering economic growth, alleviating poverty, and mitigating social inequalities. Employing the Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR), this study examines the implications of per capita gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, and inflation rates...

The need to address issues pertaining to legal uncertainty, sound governance, public policy considerations – as well as forecasting techniques as a means of mitigating uncertainties in an environment where confidence the inflation target is low, are amongst some of the objectives which this...

In many research studies it is argued that it is possible to extract useful information about future economic growth from the performance of financial markets. However, this study goes further and shows that it is not only possible to use expectations derived from financial markets to forecast...

The mainstream inflation-targeting literature makes the strong assumption that the central bank can exactly target the interest rate which affects investment and consumption decisions and hence the money supply plays no role in the monetary policy strategy. This assumption is equivalent to...

It has been a long debate whether Fed Funds target interest rate (FFTR) has significant explanatory power on interest rates in other countries. In this paper, we analyze the effects of FFTR on Bank of England (BOE) bank rate and European Central Bank (ECB) key interest rate employing-the rather...

We model a typical Asian-crisis-economy using dynamic general equilibrium tech-niques. Exchange rates obtain from nontrivial fiat-currencies demands. Sudden stops/bank-panics are possible, and key for evaluating the merits of alternative ex-change rate regimes. Strategic complementarities...

This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return forecasting (risk premium) factor...