Leung, Melvern; Li, Youwei; Pantelous, Athanasios; … - 2019
We propose a new Unconditional Coverage backtest for VaR-forecasts under a Bayesian framework that significantly minimise the direct and indirect effects of p-hacking or other biased outcomes in decision-making, in general. Especially, after the global financial crisis of 2007-09, regulatory...