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One of the earliest and most enduring questions of financial econometrics is the predictability of financial asset prices. In this article, stock market data from Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa are used to assess the out-of-sample performance of the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015252789
One of the earliest and most enduring questions of financial econometrics is the predictability of financial asset prices. In this article, stock market data from Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa are used to assess the out-of-sample performance of the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015252824
estimate the dependence structures and bivariate copulas between the estimated volatility of different markets. Thereafter, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216184
volatility and time-varying parameters. The proposed model also allows for endogeneity of the trade durations as well as for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015220557
This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model (PAR-SV) in which the log-volatility follows a first-order periodic … autoregression. This model aims at representing time series with volatility displaying a stochastic periodic dynamic structure, and …-SV model such as periodic stationarity and autocovariance structure are first studied. Then, parameter estimation is examined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015258498
simulated and real data. In particular, applications to Bayesian volatility forecasting and Value-at-Risk estimation for daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262595
We propose a novel class of count time series models, the mixed Poisson integer-valued stochastic volatility models … volatility model, encompasses a wide range of conditional distributions of counts. We study its probabilistic structure and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262949
In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/noparametric inference is the norm in several fields of applied econometric work....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015265696
Entire global economy has been adversely affected by the demand and supply shocks which have been created due to consequent waves of Covid-19 pandemic. Indian Economy was none the better amidst the second wave. Due to the demand and supply shocks at both national and international level, Indian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015267566
The purpose of this paper is to investigate some statistical methods to estimate the value-at-Risk (VaR) for stock returns in the BRICS countries for the period between 2011 to 2018. Four different risk methods are used to estimate VaR: Historical Simulation (HS), Riskmetrics, Historical Method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015268018