This paper provides a new perspective on the expectations building mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected exchange rate changes. In doing so, we assess real-time survey data for 29 economies from 2002 to 2023...

This paper estimates the exchange market pressure (EMP) in four Central European countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) over the period 1993-2006. Therefore, it is one of very few studies focused on this region and the very first paper applying concurrently model-dependent as well...

This paper investigates the determinants of financial dollarization in emerging market economies, a phenomenon where domestic residents hold large shares of their portfolios in foreign currencies. In addition to common explanatory variables, this paper places an emphasis on central banks'...

The purpose of this study is to examine the potential linkages among ASEAN-5 currencies, in particular the possibility of Singapore dollar bloc during the pre- and post crisis periods by using Johansen multivariate cointegration test and Granger causality test. Significant non-stationarity, and...

The purpose of this paper is to examine the asymmetric behavior in the adjustment of exchange rate pass-through to consumer price index in Thailand. This research applies advanced threshold cointegration model proposed by Enders and Siklos (2001). Both the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) and...

There is ongoing debate in empirical research regarding the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports and economic growth. While some studies argue that exchange rate volatility positively influences these economic variables, others suggest negative or negligible effects. This study seeks to...

This paper employs the smooth transition autoregressive models (STAR) to analyze Tunisian exchange rate pass-through on quarterly data over the period 2011Q4 2019Q4. The non linearity tests suggest that the LSTAR specification describes better the behavior of exchange rate pass-through in...