We constructed an Actuary Climate Index to measure extreme weather risks in China. Analyzing macroeconomic data through a structural vector auto-regression model suggests that a negative weather shock leads to persistently low GDP and credit obtained by non-financial firms. In our regression...

In this paper, I numerically simulate the path of economy in an economic depression. It is not easy to perform a numerical simulation of the path to a steady state if households are assumed to behave by generating rational expectations. It is much easier, however, if households are assumed to...

Theories of ecosystems in economic or business research are rarely considered from a perspective, in which these network constructs of inter-organisational relationships are influenced by policy initiatives and instruments – not just individual efforts of actors from within the ecosystem. In...

Inventory dynamics play a significant role in business cycles, as inventory tends to be more sensitive to excess demand fluctuations than it is to production. This study addresses the decision-making problem of firms and households under possible quantity-constrained trade using a simple model...

Macroeconomics has been often criticized for being useless particularly since the Great Recession. In this paper, I show that macroeconomics is still important, useful, and needed on the basis of the concept of a “Nash equilibrium of a Pareto-inefficient path” (NEPIP). On a NEPIP, the...

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the Greek retail sector's financial landscape from 2015 to 2021, examining seven distinct subsectors. Employing rigorous financial ratio analysis and correlating results with macroeconomic indicators, the research reveals nuanced patterns in...

The identification of business cycles in India and construction of a composite leading indicator for forecasting the cyclical turning points have been the focus of this study. The cyclical analysis of monthly index of industrial production (IIP) in India applying the Bry-Boschan procedure...

This study investigates the effect of CBDC issuance on economic growth rate and inflation rate in Nigeria. We are interested in determining whether the rate of economic growth and inflation changed significantly after the issuance of a non-interest bearing CBDC in Nigeria. Two-stage least square...

We propose a portfolio construction method that accounts for the regime-dependent behavior of stocks, thereby impacting their expected returns. Using a hidden Markov model (HMM) and a regime-weighted least-squares approach, we estimate forward-looking regime-conditional factors. These factors...