We use a general Markov switching model to examine the relationships between returns over three different asset classes: financial assets (U.S. stocks and Treasury bonds), commodities (oil and gold) and real estate assets (U.S. Case-Shiller index). We confirm the existence of two distinct...

Early models of bankruptcy prediction employed financial ratios drawn from pre-bankruptcy financial statements and performed well both in-sample and out-of-sample. Since then there has been an ongoing effort in the literature to develop models with even greater predictive performance. A...

In a dividend imputation tax system, equity investors have three potential sources of return: dividends, capital gains and franking (tax) credits. However, the standard procedures for estimating the market risk premium (MRP) for use in the capital asset pricing model, ignore the value of...

We have previously documented an inconsistency between the dividend yield implied by the Officer (1994) model with standard Australian regulatory parameters and actual dividend yields of Australian companies. We have shown that, within the Officer framework, this inconsistency can be resolved by...

There is much anecdotal evidence and academic argument that the location of a business influences its value. That is, some businesses appear to be worth more than others because of their location. This is particularly so in the tourism industry. Within the domain of the destination literature,...

This paper examines the impact of automated trading in the stock market on the information transmission between the stock and futures markets. This issue is of particular relevance given the trend of exchanges to introduce automated trading. We focus on the Australian market as its institutional...

In this paper a numerically robust lattice-ladder learning alogorithm is presented that sequentially selects the best specification of a subset time series system using neural networks. We have been able to extend the relevance of multi-layered neural networks and so more effectively model a...

In this paper we examine whether, and to what extent, the introduction of trading in share futures contracts on individual stocks (ISF) has impacted on the systematic risk and volatility of the underlying shares. The use of ISF allows a unique experimental design that complements existing work...

VAR models are increasingly being used in the analysis of relationships between financial markets. In such models, there are circumstances that require zero entries in the coefficient matrices. Such circumstances can be particularly relevant in the context of emerging markets given their...

Several techniques to assess the effectiveness of a hedge have been suggested in the literature. While these techniques hold theoretical appeal, there is little empirical evidence as to their effectiveness. This paper provides an empirical comparison of three measures of hedge effectiveness in...