Abstract Given a risk outcome y over a rating system {R_i }_(i=1)^k for a portfolio, we show in this paper that the maximum likelihood estimates with monotonic constraints, when y is binary (the Bernoulli likelihood) or takes values in the interval 0≤y≤1 (the quasi-Bernoulli likelihood), are...

It is well known among practitioners that the seasonal adjustment applied to economic time series could involve several decisions to be made by the econometrician. In this paper, I assess which aggregation strategy delivers the best results for the case of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 quarterly...

The price-demand relationship in the electricity market is a complicated phenomenon. In order to thoroughly investigate the peculiarities of this relationship, a multi-scale correlation analysis of electricity price and demand is carried out in this research. Using a modified method of socalled...

This paper attempts to codify a standard nomenclature for similarity measures based on recent literature and to advance the field of similarity measures through the introduction of non-binary similarity between more than two attribute vectors.

This paper attempts to codify a standard nomenclature for similarity measures based on recent literature and to advance the field of similarity measures through the introduction of non-binary similarity between more than two attribute vectors.

This paper introduces a machine learning (ML) based approach for integrating Human Security (HS) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Originating in the 1990s, HS focuses on strategic, people-centric interventions for ensuring comprehensive welfare and resilience. It closely aligns with the...

Serbian. U uslovima izolacije (sankcije međunarodne zajednice) standardni instrumenti ekonomske politike usmereni na uspostavljanje spoljnoekonomske ravnoteže potisnuti su instrumentima monetarne politike, kojima se makroekonomska (ne)ravnoteža autonomno generiše u okviru zatvorenog sistema....

Hay esbozos según los cuales las probabilidades se cuentan como la fundación de la teoría matemática de las estadísticas. Mas la significación física de las probabilidades matemáticas son oscuros, muy poco entendidos. Parecíera mejor que las probabilidades físicas se fundaran en las...

This study tries to quantify the impact of transition in Eastern countries in an early stage on the cost-side and also on the benefit-side. The exposition plan includes: 1) Introduction; 2) Structural distortions; 3) Transition versus stability.

This paper describes three measures of financial risk –Value at Risk (VaR) based on the Gaussian distribution, VaR based on extreme value theory and conditional VaR (expected shortfall) – and shows an application of these measures to the withdrawals of deposits in the Bolivian financial...