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We propose a portfolio construction method that accounts for the regime-dependent behavior of stocks, thereby impacting their expected returns. Using a hidden Markov model (HMM) and a regime-weighted least-squares approach, we estimate forward-looking regime-conditional factors. These factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015213786
income growth process, domestic inflation and real interest structure for the case of Turkish economy. Our estimation results … employing some contemporaneous estimation techniques of unrestricted dynamic vector autoregression (VAR) models reveal that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219725
the structural vector autoregression methodology, the estimation results reveal that the ‘push’ factors based on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015222572
FTS in Business cycles examines the dynamic effects and empirical significance of Flight to Safety (FTS) shocks in the context of US business cycles. FTS represents a sudden preference for safe over risky investments and contains important information on agents’ time-varying risk-aversion and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015223925
compared to that of GMV portfolios constructed by sample covariance and constant correlation methods in terms of reduced … volatility. Also, the performance of GMV portfolios are tested against that of equally weighted and cap weighted portfolios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015224655
This study employs the bounds testing approach to cointegration to investigate the relationships between the prices of two strategic commodities: gold and oil and the financial variables (interest rate, exchange rate and stock price) of Japan – a major oil-consuming and gold-holding country....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015228212
of equity market co-movements, the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model is engaged. Results suggest that in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015234209
In this paper we examine the linkages of government bond yield spreads (BYS) between Euro zone countries over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015235050
Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day-ahead forecast error and its … standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility … standardized with its volatility. The statistical properties of the forecast errors point the standardized version as a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256689
Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day-ahead forecast error and its … standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility … standardized with its volatility. The statistical properties of the forecast errors point the standardized version as a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256756