This manual provides a comprehensive overview of Vector Autoregression (VAR) models using EViews. It covers key concepts, practical applications, and step-by-step guidance on implementing VAR modeling. The aim is to equip researchers and practitioners with the tools necessary to analyze time...

Models for a continuous risk outcome has a wide application in portfolio risk management and capital allocation. We introduce a family of interval distributions based on variable transformations. Densities for these distributions are provided. Models with a random effect, targeting a continuous...

This paper models the stochastic behavior of large-scale terrorism using extreme value methods. We utilize a unique dataset composed of roughly 26,000 observations. These data provide a rich description of domestic and international terrorism between 1968 and 2006. Currently, a credible...

In countries where tools of economic control are immature and disabled due to totalitarian systems, macroeconomic analyses for aggregate quantities and relationships, such as total consumption, investment, and government expenditures represents a difficult task. The practice of aggregation...

This is a summary of the paper entitled : “The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox”. In that paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of...

Resource misallocation can lower aggregate total factor productivity (TFP).We use microdata on manufacturing establishments to quantify the potential extent of misallocation in China and India versus the United States. We measure sizable gaps in marginal products of labor and capital across...

In recent years, the government, of African Countries has assumed major responsibilities for economic reforms and growth. In attempting to describe their economies, economists (policymakers) in many African Countries have applied certain models that are by now widely known: Linear programming...

This study examines the role of asymmetry and breaks in oil price–output growth volatility nexus. A representative of 10 countries was selected from net oil-exporting and-importing economies for the period 1986–2017. It is hypothesised that countries respond differently to changes in oil...

In this paper, we attempt to show the validity and limits of univariate time series modeling applied to annual production of sugar in Mauritius form 1879 to 1987. We analyse the series through the main components of long-term growth and stationary dynamics of short-term coupled with the impact...

Proceeding from the viewpoint that the parameters to be estimated should be uniquely determined, we definite the concepts of the distinction and identification of vectors such that under the basic assumptions of quite general nature, study the identification problem of the contemporaneous models...