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Summary of the Paper Entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate
Pincheira, Pablo; Jarsun, Nabil - 2020
-value theory for exchange rate determination and on the strong co-movement displayed by some commodity prices. The Chilean economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229382
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Foreign Exchange Market Interventions: New Empirical Views of Emerging Markets
Brause, Alexander F. - 2010
Ergebnisse dieser Studien führten in den letzten Jahren zu der weitverbreiteten Meinung, dass Interventionen am Devisenmarkt kein … über Notenbankinterventionen am Devisenmarkt näher zu bringen und neue Aspekte in Bezug auf Emerging Markets zu diskutieren …. Der Kernpunkt befasst sich mit der Frage, warum Notenbanken in Emerging Markets am Devisenmarkt intervenieren und ob diese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433706
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Pengertian dari dan untuk ketakmengertian: Social Complexity sebagai cara pandang baru dalam memahami fenomena sosial
Situngkir, Hokky - 2011
The paper discusses the utilization of social complexity studies to enhance our understanding on many social phenomena. The discussions brings the concept of uncertainty in almost everything of social realms and makes some points related to the empirical findings of the power-law distributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015226873
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The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox: A summary
Pincheira, Pablo; Hardy, Nicolas - 2020
This is a summary of the paper entitled : “The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox”. In that paper, we show that traditional comparisons of Mean Squared Prediction Error (MSPE) between two competing forecasts may be highly controversial. This is so because when some specific conditions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229363
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Principal Components and Factor Analysis. A Comparative Study.
Travaglini, Guido - 2011
A comparison between Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Factor Analysis (FA) is performed both theoretically and empirically for a random matrix X:(n x p) , where n is the number of observations and both coordinates may be very large. The comparison surveys the asymptotic properties of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015229815
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Using sentiment to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - 2008
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230542
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An inflation expectations horserace
Guzman, Giselle C. - 2010
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230546
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The case for higher frequency inflation expectations
Guzman, Giselle C. - 2011
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230637
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Using sentiment to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Guzman, Giselle C. - 2007
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015233041
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The case for higher frequency inflation expectations
Guzman, Giselle C. - 2010
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015233042