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In the U.S. individual households have the freedom to borrow funds if they need to do so; other households have the freedom to offer their surplus funds to the financial markets. These simple freedoms hide the fundamental reality that these two types of households are in an unequal financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015248673
The Bank of International Settlement in its latest report demonstrates how the inflation levels, especially of food and energy prices have affected the behaviour of households in the U.S and in other countries. This paper aims to set out a method to use home equity as a policy tool for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015268380
This paper develops a macroeconomic model of the interaction between consumer debt and firm debt over the business cycle. I incorporate interest rate spreads generated by firm and household loan default risk into a real business cycle model. I estimate the model on US aggregate data. This allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015224144
Bond markets in emerging markets are illiquid as investors and issuers grapple with major microstructure and legal … issues. The importance of bond markets as a source of finance has increased during the economic slowdown as companies … significant relationship of coupon with optionality of the bond but it found that the Rating has significant relationship with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015232187
How does heightened uncertainty affect the costs of raising finance through the bond market and through bank loans …? Empirically, I find that a rise in uncertainty is accompanied by an increase in corporate bond yields and a decrease in bank … role for banks. In contrast to bond investors, banks acquire additional costly information about borrowers in times of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256492
Is the Philips Curve Still Applicable in Today’s Financial Environment? The relationship between wage inflation and unemployment, is not only considered by Gali and Gambetti (2018:2) to be a “a key link of the relation between prices and economic activity” but also regarded as the focus of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015264647
This paper studies the role of narratives for macroeconomic fluctuations. Microfounding narratives as directed acyclic graphs, we show how exposure to different narratives can affect expectations in an otherwise-standard macroeconomic framework. We identify such competing narratives in news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015268144
Using an ensemble forecasting technique, we created the rule-based indicator (FKRI, the Fisher Knight Recession Indicator) that accurately predicted all five economic recessions in the United States during the last 45 years. The indicator gave neither type I nor type II errors (no false alarms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015268783
In 1946 the economist Arthur Burns defined a business cycle as a period of expansion occurring about the same time in many economic activities, followed by similar general recessions, contractions and revivals, which merge into the expansion phase of the next cycle. Cycles may take from one year...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015246582
The three main economic philosophies (Classical, Keynesians and Monetarists) did not help in preventing the 2007-2008 U.S. financial crisis. Why not? The Classical economists focus on free markets, free of government interference and free of monopolies. They missed the point that when about $10...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015249090