In this study, we examine the drivers of persistent exchange rate depreciation in Nigeria and suggest remedial monetary policy actions based on inference from the results. Using time series data from January 2008 to June 2023, the following potential drivers were examined: price level...

Informed by the recent run of rising and persistent inflation in Nigeria, which puts headline and food inflation at 28.2% and 32.8%, respectively, and its attendant consequences on macroeconomic performance, this study makes a case for inflation targeting as an alternative monetary policy...

We explore the role of fear associated with migration in predicting exchange rate volatility of Germany, France, and the United Kingdom within the context of the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) mixed-data-sampling (MIDAS) framework using United States dollar (USD)...

We evaluate the impact of international monetary policy spillovers from the US and China on the real exchange rate of Japan. While China remains the top largest trading partner to Japan, the US occupies the second position, indicating potential policy spillovers from these countries to Japan....

We investigate the influence of US quality of political signals (USQPOLS) on advanced and emerging markets using the Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model that also accommodates the macroeconomic conditions of the shock recipient markets. We show an immediate negative impact on the equity...

This study examines the safe haven prowess of gold against some exogenous shocks due to the COVID-19 pandemic. We further make a comparison of our findings with those obtained for the period before it. Our results confirm the potential of gold market to serve as a safe haven during the pandemic...

Climate change has had a significant impact on the world, and many efforts have been made to mitigate its risks. This study aims to create a new index that measures the uncertainty surrounding migration due to climate change. To do this, the study uses a variety of international newspapers with...

In this study, we develop the first daily news-based economic policy uncertainty [EPU] index for the largest economy in Africa which was hitherto suppressed in the various EPU indices published in recent times. With the renewed interest in Africa as an important destination for investments from...

This study utilizes a newly constructed index for financial stress to examine its predictive value for exchange rate volatility in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using a methodology that accounts for the key features of the predictive model, we find that financial stress significantly and positively...

This study examines the effect of a pandemic-induced uncertainty on cryptocurrencies (specifically, Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple). It employs a predictive model by Westerlund and Narayan (2012, 2015) to examine the predictability of a pandemic-induced uncertainty as a predictor, as well as the...