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preferences beyond the classical concept of expected utility theory. The thesis contains four main chapters.The first two chapters … dependence compared to classical models of expected utility theory. It is shown that some empirical puzzles concerning … utility theory are met. It is shown that the methodological concerns are empirically relevant when a classification of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009482308
sets simulated for Full Signal Detection Theory and its special cases of standard Signal Detection Theory and Complementary … Signal Detection Theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441534
Chapter 1: Efficient Design of an Auction with Discrete Bid Levels This paper studies one of auction design issues: the choice of bid levels. Full efficiency is generally unachievable with a discrete auction. Since there may be more than one bidder who submits the same bid, the auction cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450772
innovation. The second chapter explores the overemphasis of homeruns in baseball. In theory, if homeruns are overemphasized … double over a triple verify this overemphasis theory. The third chapter concentrates on the trade policies for an oligopoly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009430888
This thesis is a collection of papers that use survey data to analyze expectations about macroeconomic variables and the way these expectations are formed. Using a new approach for modeling forecast errors in a structural way, we show that most of the individual forecasts in the Consensus survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429015
This study examines whether investor reactions are sensitive to the recent direction and/orvolatility of underlying market movements. We find dividend change announcements elicit agreater change in stock price when the nature of the news (good or bad) goes against the grain ofthe recent market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009430932
explaining exchange rate movements. The asset market theory of exchange rate determination implies that exchange rates are mainly … driven by the development of macroeconomic fundamentals. Furthermore the asset market theory assumes that foreign exchange … speculation, economic theory states that speculation can have either a stabilizing effect or a destabilizing effect on exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433679
This paper is a deductive theoretical enquiry into the flow of effects from the geometry of price bubbles/busts, to price indices, to pricing behaviours of sellers and buyers, and back to price bubbles/busts. The intent of the analysis is to suggest analytical approaches to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437953
This paper provides an adaptive learning algorithm for linear stochastic models with expectational leads in which forecasts for an arbitrary period ahead of the current state feed back into the economic system. The concept of an unbiased forecasting rule with generates rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452462
determining market clearing prices is calculated explicitly. The classical capital market line result of CAPM theory is extended …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452468