This research paper has attempted to analyze the nature of the leverage exerted by the inflation targeting (IT) policy on the pass-through effect in emerging countries. In other words, we tried to answer to the question of whether a climate of low inflation in these countries through the...

This draft is a summary of the paper entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate. In that paper we show that the Chilean exchange rate has the ability to predict the returns of oil prices and of three additional oil-related products: gasoline, propane and heating oil. The...

The volatility of exchange rates leads to a reduction of international trade volumes, especially in emerging economies including the South Mediterranean countries. This study discusses the impact of exchange rates on bilateral South- North trade flows, which comes timely after the increased...

The study provide an analysis of the macroeconomic issues surrounding the reforms needed to meet the country’s growth target, as well as to identify existing policy and structural constraints and macroeconomic policy reforms measures that would help to remove those constraints. The indicative...

The study develops a parsimonious representation of the macro economy of Bangladesh. It aims to serve a dual purpose. First, it provides a framework for making rational and consistent predictions about Bangladesh's overall economic activity, the standard components of the balance of payments,...

In this paper we show that survey-based-expectations about the future evolution of the Chilean exchange rate have the ability to predict the returns of the six primary non-ferrous metals: aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. Predictability is also found for returns of the London Metal...

This paper describes the links between financial sector and macroeconomic conditions into MEAM macro model. The focus is on banking lending rate, in terms of macroeconomic indicators impact, such as the probability of default of private sector and economic developments. Through this material we...

This paper examines the implications of financial development for commercial bank savings mobilisation and economic performance in Ghana since the pursuit of financial reforms programme in September 1987. To achieve this objective a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model on quarterly time...

Understanding how monetary policy decisions affect inflation and other economic variables is particularly important. In this paper we consider the implications of monetary policy under inflation targeting regime in Romania based on a vector autoregressive method including recursive VAR and...

The paper proposes the methodologically sound method to deal with set identified Structural VAR (SVAR) models under zero and sign restrictions. What distinguishes our method from that proposed by Arias, Rubio-Ramírez and Waggoner (2016) is that we isolated many special cases for which we arrive...