Subject of the present study is the agent-based computer simulation ofAgent Island. Agent Island is a macroeconomic model, which belongs to thefield of monetary theory. Agent-based modeling is an innovative tool thatmade much progress in other scientific fields like medicine or logistics.In...

This thesis investigates the consequences of model uncertainty and persistence in consumption habits and price-setting behaviour in a New Keynesian model.As the decision of a central bank is made in an uncertain environment, the analysis of uncertainty is essential in monetary policy models. In...

Inflation expectations have been of great interest to economists because they predict how agents in an economy set prices and react to changes in various macroeconomic variables. The existence of Keynesian liquidity traps in Japan and the United States have helped emphasize the importance of...

The approach is based on the finding that new generations of currency crises theories always had developed ex post after popular currency crises. Discussing the main theories of currency crises shows their disparity: The First Generation of currency crises models argues based on the assumption...

Since the beginning, central banks have used a wide range of instruments to achieve their ultimate purpose of price stability. One measure in the authorities’ toolbox is a foreign exchange market intervention. The discussion about this instrument has come a long way. So far, the discussion...

Die hollowing-out Hypothese, auch bekannt unter den Bezeichnungen (two) corner solutions oder bipolar view, besagt, dass für Staaten mit weitgehend ungehindertem Kapitalverkehr nur Ecklösungen, also entweder extrem feste oder sehr flexible Wechselkursregime, langfristig tragbar sind. Mitte der...

Exchange rate movements affect exports in two ways -- its depreciation and its variability (risk). A depreciation raises exports, but the associated exchange rate risk could offset that positive effect. The present paper investigates the net effect for eight Asian countries using a dynamic...

Recent theory on exchange rate dynamics suggests that the mere announcement of regime switching from floating to fixed rates at a given future date triggers a reduction in exchange rate volatility during the interim period. Using a Markov-switching GARCH model this paper estimates the volatility...

In August 1998 the Russian foreign exchange market and financial system collapsed. As a consequence the rouble devaluated in real terms against the currencies of the main trade partners, generating an output push in the agri-food sector. This improved the financial health of most producer, thus...

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the impact of the change on the Brazilian exchange rate policy implemented in January 1999, and to analyze agricultural sector transformations. Specifically, the paper is an attempt to identify the economic relations of the aggregate performance of the...