In this paper we show that the exchange rates of some commodity exporter countries have the ability to predict the price of spot and future contracts of aluminum. This is shown with both in-sample and out-of-sample analyses. The theoretical underpinning of these results relies on the...

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/noparametric inference is the norm in several fields of applied econometric work....

The thesis of this paper is mathematical formulation of the laws of Economics with application of the principle of Least Action of classical mechanics. This paper is proposed as the rigorous mathematical approach to Economics provided by the fundamental principle of the physical science – the...

No foolproof method exists to fit nonlinear curves to data or estimate the parameters of an intrinsically nonlinear function. Some methods succeed at solving a set of problems but fail at the others. The Differential Evolution (DE) method of global optimization is an upcoming method that has...

Many financial products sensitive to daily rate changes dictate the importance of adequate modelling of short-term rates. Their intrinsic properties are investigated based on historical market data. A new short-term rate model with the non-Gaussian random driver and auto-correlation factors is...

No foolproof method exists to fit nonlinear curves to data or estimate the parameters of an intrinsically nonlinear function. Some methods succeed at solving a set of problems but fail at the others. The Differential Evolution (DE) method of global optimization is an upcoming method that has...

Islamic equity portfolios work with a smaller investment universe given the filtering of non-Shari’ah compliant stocks. It has been theoretically argued that this culminates in suboptimal portfolio diversification which in turn adversely affects risk-adjusted returns. We employ a number of...

In this paper Sato’s two-level CES production function has been estimated by nonlinear regression carried out through five different methods of optimization, namely, the Hooke-Jeeves Pattern Moves (HJPM), the Hooke-Jeeves-Quasi-Newton (HJQN), the Rosenbrock-Quasi-Newton (RQN), the Differential...

A Monte Carlo simulation was used to generate data for a comparison of five robust regression estimation methods with ordinary least squares (OLS) under 36 different outlier data configurations. Two of the robust estimators, Least Absolute Value (LAV) estimation and MM estimation, are...

We propose a new method to find spatially adaptive smoothing splines. This new method breaks down the interval [0, 1] into p disjoint sub-intervals. Then we define p functional components in [0, 1], which have two importantfeatures. First, the purpose of each of these p components is to estimate...