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average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF and Consensus … Economics compared to their counterparts that do not. The gains in forecast accuracy from incorporating inflation expectations … countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food and both point and density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670001
This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation and comparison of flexible, high dimensional multivariate time series models with time varying correlations. The model proposed and considered here combines features of the classical factor model with that of the heavy tailed univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441545
Inflation sinkt.Das Anliegen des zweiten Beitrags, Abwärtsnominal- und Tariflohnstarrheit in Deutschland, ist, sowohl nach unten … implications of the downward nominal wage rigidity—under a constant degree of rigidity—increase for lower inflation rates. For … inflation rates less than two per-cent the real implications are non-negligible. Additionally, the degree of rigidity itself …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009450184
optimal policy for a developed small open economy. For both economies, inflation is low, but very volatile, while taxes follow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475440
This dissertation studies the question of nonlinearities in the Phillips curve relationshipin France, Germany and Italy. The implications from the theoretical models are that themechanisms that make the Phillips curve nonlinear can work through different channels.Therefore, this thesis not just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471618
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth", describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441372
Artículo de revista ; This article analyses the link between the changes in and the drivers of inflation in a broad … range of advanced economies, with special emphasis on those of the euro area. Inflation rates are seen to be highly … common monetary policy. Also, the comovement of inflation is found to be a phenomenon that tends to be more visible in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012524475
resolver este problema ; In this paper we look at global inflation trends over the last decade and try to disentangle factors … that could explain the ultra-low levels of inflation during the recovery from the Great Recession. We review the literature … inflation’s reduced cyclical sensitivity to domestic economic slack, a bigger role being played by forward-looking inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012529567
Persistenzmodellierung. Zu dieser gehören verschiedene Techniken der Zeitreihenanalyse (u. a. ADF-Test, VAR-Modelle, Impulse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428984
, insbesondere der Zeitreihenanalyse liegt. Das Konzept besteht darin, sämtliche wiederkehrenden Aufgaben mit Hilfe von Java …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467166