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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463981
The problem of determining whether or not a theoretical model is an accurate representation of an empirically observed phenomenon is one of the most challenging in the empirical scientific investigation. The following study explores the problem of stochastic model validation. Special attention...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009438314
the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) , Multivariate VAR (p), Multivariate-VARX (p) and Multivariate VAR (p)-GARCH (q …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431226
at Risk (VaR) calculation entails a numerically indirectprocedure. The Quantile Regression (QR) estimation is an …-KF) based on the QR approach thatcan be used to obtain robust SV model parameter estimates as well as VaR estimates. TheRQMM is … existing Nonlinear Filtering (NF) scheme.This approach is used in likelihood and VaR computations. This algorithm provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431241
This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433020
Extracting the principles associated with complexity theory and swarm intelligence has offered practical solutions for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433074
markets for the two classes of shares. Value-at-Risk (VaR) threshold forecasts are used to analyse the importance of … information flow on the risk evaluation of a diversified portfolio. The competing VaR forecasts are analysed using the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009434861
This paper studies the characteristics of firm level equity volatility. There is a lack of consensus in the finance literature as to the relative statistical and economic significance of the leverage and feedback effects on equity volatility. We provide a dynamic framework to investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459041
business decisions. A relatively new technique for performing valuation under uncertainty, Value at Risk (VaR), has been … developed in the financial world. VaR is a method of evaluating the probability of a gain or loss by a complex venture, by … examining the stochastic behavior of its components. We believe that combining quantitative risk assessment techniques with VaR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464795
explizit ökonomische Theorie zur Datenanalyse verwendet. Zur Identifikation makroökonomischer Schocks verwende ich sowohl … explicitly involves economic theory in the estimation procedure. To identify shocks I employ both sign restrictions derived from … technology shocks. The suggested approach results in a factor generalization of the DSGE-VAR methodology of Del Negro and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467170