This paper describes in detail the theoretical and empirical features of the G-Cubed multi-country, multi-sector intertemporal general equilibrium model. The G-Cubed model has been used for a number of alternative policy simulations including the implications of greenhouse gas policy, trade...

The financial debacle that followed the Mexican devaluation in December 1994 left many analysts, investors and observers bewildered by its magnitude. This paper argues that the causes of the devaluation are quite different from the causes of the crisis, so different that the financial crisis was...

The Bogor Declaration of 1994 proposed free trade in the Asia Pacific region by the year 2020. If implemented as announced, this program will have important implications for the world economy over the next few decades. This paper uses a new dynamic multi-sector global model called the...

This paper summarizes the debate on the costs and benefits of regional and global action to reduce future emissions of greenhouse gases. The paper also presents new evidence on possible future global emissions of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels where these emissions are disaggregated by...

This paper uses a combination of growth accounting and regression analysis to examine economic growth experiences of 88 developing and industrial economies over the period 1960-1992. The decomposition shows that increases in total factor productivity (TFP) have been surprisingly small in...

The literature on exchange markets conventionally defines the gap between the forward exchange rate and the expected future spot exchange rate as an "exchange risk premium." Part I of this paper skeptically reviews existing interpretations of the exchange risk premium and then presents an...

The research reported in this set of three working papers focuses on different assumptions about the intertemporal behavior of government policymakers. In particular, we carefully study alternative specifications of intertemporal fiscal closure rules and their impacts on the effectiveness of...