In this paper we apply the idea of the WKB method to derive an effective single lognormal approximation for the probability distribution of the sum of two correlated lognormal variables. An approximate probability distribution of the sum is determined in closed form, and illustrative numerical...

In this article we consider the efficient estimation of the tail distribution of the maximum of correlated normal random variables. We show that the currently recommended Monte Carlo estimator has difficulties in quantifying its precision, because its sample variance estimator is an inefficient...

In this article we consider the efficient estimation of the tail distribution of the maximum of correlated normal random variables. We show that the currently recommended Monte Carlo estimator has difficulties in quantifying its precision, because its sample variance estimator is an inefficient...

Elasticity is a very popular concept in economics and physics, recently exported and reinterpreted in the statistical field, where it has given form to the so-called elasticity function. This function has proved to be a very useful tool for quantifying and evaluating risks, with applications in...

It is already known, under certain conditions including stochastic inequalities, the comparison of moments. In this paper, we will study in detail the reverse of this problem, that is, the stochastic orderings implied by moments inequalities. We will limit our study to the absolute value of...

We introduce the new F-Riesz distribution to model tail-heterogeneity in fat-tailed covariance matrix observations. In contrast to the typical matrix-valued distributions from the econometric literature, the F-Riesz distribution allows for different tail behavior across all variables in the...

We consider the expected shortfall of accounting values, or, mathematically speaking, of random variables that are not continuous (i. e. whose cumulative distribution function is not continuous). Acerbi and Tasche show that one has to abandon the conditional expectation in order to maintain...